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The Ratings Game: Snowflake stock surges toward best day since May after ‘phenomenal’ earnings

Shares of Snowflake Inc. were headed toward their best performance in more than six months after the software company’s latest earnings report was met with a flurry of praise.

Snowflake shares
SNOW,
+8.27%

were up 10.5% in Wednesday trading, and on track for their largest single-day percentage gain since May 14, when the stock rose 11.6%.

The company saw its revenue more than double in the most recent quarter and sent what analysts viewed as an optimistic signal about its future pipeline.

“[L]arge deal activity appears to be building, and international markets are picking up momentum,” wrote Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz. “More broadly, we maintain that SNOW’s offerings are substantially ahead of the competition at this time.”

Moskowitz keyed in on commentary from Snowflake’s management team noting that the company had a “breakout quarter” for bookings and consumption, even though some of its outperformance came from stronger-than-expected consumption by Snowflake’s largest customers. Overall, he called Snowflake’s results “phenomenal.”

“We continue to believe we’re in the early stages of a powerful trend in which companies will largely standardize on SNOW’s platform,” Moskowitz concluded, while reiterating a buy rating and $450 price target.

Evercore ISI’s Kirk Materne was upbeat about Snowflake’s reacceleration in product revenue growth during what he called a “monster quarter” for the company.

“While the bigger-than-expected beat was driven by strong consumption from some of SNOW’s larger customers, the upbeat guide for F4Q product revenue (+94-96%) helps illustrate that the trends in the business are durable and why Snowflake remains one of the really unique hyper-growth stories in software,” he wrote.

Snowflake “is not going to be immune to more market gyrations” if the macroeconomic landscape stays “volatile,” Materne continued, but he likes the company’s long-term prospects. He rates the stock at outperform, and boosted his price target to $400 from $380.

Among the high points for Oppenheimer’s Ittai Kidron was that Snowflake posted its first quarter on record of positive adjusted earnings while sporting a net revenue retention rate above 170%.

“We see a long trajectory of rapid revenue increases for the next few years fueled by an [information technology] shift to a cloud-centric model, digital transformation, and higher spend on [machine learning]/data science,” he wrote in a note to clients, while reiterating his outperform rating and lifting his target price to $400 from $360.

Shares of Snowflake have increased 23% so far this year as the S&P 500
SPX,
+0.61%

has gained 21%.

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